Charts & Chat - October 20, 2024
Eric Boyce • October 21, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. GDP estimates for 3Q in the increase; liquidity higher, and economic data on balance has been more positive.
2. liquidity improving in US and abroad - tends to favor profits increases and risk asset investment over time
3. retail sales stronger than expected, labor market softening as expected
4. gold strong, other energy commodities are off somewhat
5. chapter 11 filings up, expectations for delinquencies on the rise
6. regional economic surveys (Philly Fed, Empire State) paint mixed picture on manufacturing
7. investor optimism much higher on stocks versus bonds; improving stock price and earnings breadth across sectors expected

By Eric Boyce
•
July 13, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. believe it or note, we are now in the 6th longest business cycle expansion in US history 2. AI spending should be a continued economic driver on several fronts 3. economic growth stemming from high income households, increased consumption and declining savings rates; deep dive into the wealth effect and notable drivers 4. Three engines of 2026 growth: AI spending, Infrastructure & Manufacturing Capacity Spending, and OBBBA (offset by higher energy costs) 5. generational transfer of "wealth" (i.e. free cash flow) from Hyperscalers to semiconductor companies 6. equity valuations remain high - tremendous surge in earnings expectations driving optimism and valuation gap versus international stocks




