Charts & Chat - October 20, 2024
Eric Boyce • October 21, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. GDP estimates for 3Q in the increase; liquidity higher, and economic data on balance has been more positive.
2. liquidity improving in US and abroad - tends to favor profits increases and risk asset investment over time
3. retail sales stronger than expected, labor market softening as expected
4. gold strong, other energy commodities are off somewhat
5. chapter 11 filings up, expectations for delinquencies on the rise
6. regional economic surveys (Philly Fed, Empire State) paint mixed picture on manufacturing
7. investor optimism much higher on stocks versus bonds; improving stock price and earnings breadth across sectors expected

By Eric Boyce
•
September 15, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. implications of a growing national debt level and growth of debt relative to the national economy 2. economic variables most impacted by inflation stemming from the Iran war 3. difficult Fed position regarding short term rates - expectations are for higher rates, but bond market is already there with higher yields. Bond sell off continues, driven by increasing fiscal deficits and increased skepticism 4. increased demand for debt - driven by global demand and hyperscalers, comes at a time of decreasing supply of savings, halping to cement rate increases 5. Producer prices higher - labor market appears stable for the time being 6. 3rd quarter economic growth potential tracking higher per Atlanta Fed 7. Stock valuations lower due to higher earnings, overall valuations bring risk of volatility, although current vol is low





