Charts & Chat - June 11, 2023
Eric Boyce • June 11, 2023
This week, Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Celebrate what's going right in the economy and the markets, but don't lose sight of what the data is telling us.
2. stocks are bring driven by 5-8 large cap technology stocks riding the AI wave
3. Fed likely to pause on rates this week
4. Rents in negative growth - new inventory likely to keep rents low, helping to reduce inflation
5. consumption up, but also credit card usage and delinquencies
6. job growth, but productivity negative - signs of future slowdown
7. commercial real estate stress on horizon
8. China near term growth issues

By Eric Boyce
•
July 13, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. believe it or note, we are now in the 6th longest business cycle expansion in US history 2. AI spending should be a continued economic driver on several fronts 3. economic growth stemming from high income households, increased consumption and declining savings rates; deep dive into the wealth effect and notable drivers 4. Three engines of 2026 growth: AI spending, Infrastructure & Manufacturing Capacity Spending, and OBBBA (offset by higher energy costs) 5. generational transfer of "wealth" (i.e. free cash flow) from Hyperscalers to semiconductor companies 6. equity valuations remain high - tremendous surge in earnings expectations driving optimism and valuation gap versus international stocks




