Charts & Chat - June 4, 2023
Eric Boyce • June 4, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. latest jobs update - average earnings, labor participation, small firms still growing labor while large firms trimming
2. home price affordability update, impact on resumption of student loan repayment on consumption
3. small company defaults rising, loan costs rising, loan demand dropping
4. ISM manufacturing update -weakness new orders and backlog
5. narrow stock market leadership, retail flows are chasing returns.
6. quality, value tend to lead after fed rate tightening ends & when growth peaks relative to value

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




