Charts & Chat - June 11, 2023
Eric Boyce • June 11, 2023
This week, Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Celebrate what's going right in the economy and the markets, but don't lose sight of what the data is telling us.
2. stocks are bring driven by 5-8 large cap technology stocks riding the AI wave
3. Fed likely to pause on rates this week
4. Rents in negative growth - new inventory likely to keep rents low, helping to reduce inflation
5. consumption up, but also credit card usage and delinquencies
6. job growth, but productivity negative - signs of future slowdown
7. commercial real estate stress on horizon
8. China near term growth issues

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




