Charts & Chat - November 17, 2024
Eric Boyce • November 17, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. potential trade implications of the Trump 2.0 administration
2. recent inflation reports reflect sticky inflation influenced by a handful of components, overall trend remains down, however.
3. real wage growth positive, delinquencies picking up tho
4. US dollar accelerating; commodity prices are a mixed bag; oil, gasoline stocks are low
5. risk asset valuations & expectations are high, yet volatility remains low - some near term risk there...
6. significant opportunity in small cap and international stocks - just needs a catalyst
7. short term interest rates expected to drop 0.5% next 12 months; overall rates moving higher & reversing earlier 2024 trends

By Eric Boyce
•
August 3, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Fed leaves rates unchanged, but bias is up based on sticky inflation data. Bond market providing its own assessment of risk as Fed chair Warsh pulls back and long term rates move higher 2. Earnings estimates accelerating, creating higher valuations and risk if results fall short of expectations. Question of whether free cash flow growth and returns on investment can be achieved by AI firms. 3. inflation volatility adding risk to S&P 500 earnings; increasing divergence between sectors 4. 2nd quarter GDP shy of expectations, as inventory drawdown and weak government spending was offset by positive consumer spending.




