Charts & Chat - November 24, 2024
Eric Boyce • November 24, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Trade trends and the impact of the strong dollar and potential tariff polices
2. New business applications up; leading indicators remain subdued
3. Residential housing inventory is up, even if builder sentiment is still soft
4. Loan demand off, but lenders still are lending; commercial non-performing loans picking up
5. Investor liquidity at high point; international purchases of US assets also peaking - driving valuations higher
6. Fund flows are strong for both stocks and bonds; mutual funds running very low cash levels

By Eric Boyce
•
July 13, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. believe it or note, we are now in the 6th longest business cycle expansion in US history 2. AI spending should be a continued economic driver on several fronts 3. economic growth stemming from high income households, increased consumption and declining savings rates; deep dive into the wealth effect and notable drivers 4. Three engines of 2026 growth: AI spending, Infrastructure & Manufacturing Capacity Spending, and OBBBA (offset by higher energy costs) 5. generational transfer of "wealth" (i.e. free cash flow) from Hyperscalers to semiconductor companies 6. equity valuations remain high - tremendous surge in earnings expectations driving optimism and valuation gap versus international stocks




