Charts & Chat - November 24, 2024
Eric Boyce • November 24, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Trade trends and the impact of the strong dollar and potential tariff polices
2. New business applications up; leading indicators remain subdued
3. Residential housing inventory is up, even if builder sentiment is still soft
4. Loan demand off, but lenders still are lending; commercial non-performing loans picking up
5. Investor liquidity at high point; international purchases of US assets also peaking - driving valuations higher
6. Fund flows are strong for both stocks and bonds; mutual funds running very low cash levels

By Eric Boyce
•
August 3, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Fed leaves rates unchanged, but bias is up based on sticky inflation data. Bond market providing its own assessment of risk as Fed chair Warsh pulls back and long term rates move higher 2. Earnings estimates accelerating, creating higher valuations and risk if results fall short of expectations. Question of whether free cash flow growth and returns on investment can be achieved by AI firms. 3. inflation volatility adding risk to S&P 500 earnings; increasing divergence between sectors 4. 2nd quarter GDP shy of expectations, as inventory drawdown and weak government spending was offset by positive consumer spending.




