Charts & Chat - December 1, 2024
Eric Boyce • December 1, 2024
CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. inflation expectations continue to fall
2. regional Fed surveys of manufacturing are looking better
3. capital spending increasing for non-technology firms
4. valuation gap between Mag 7 tech firms and rest of market; however, that gap is narrowing and breadth is improving
5. interesting that private multiples are contracting at the same time that public company multiples are expending
6. very high equity ownership on the part of the investing public
7. opportunity in foreign and emerging markets although value realization catalysts are varied
8. 2025 forecasts call for anywhere from 8.5 - 16% S&P 500 growth next year on increased earnings and relatively flat multiple growth...

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




