Charts & Chat - August 25, 2024
Eric Boyce • August 25, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. AI stock earnings decelerating; market leadership may change; 2. revenue growth in line, although some sectors slowing; recession indicators falling; consumption and savings updates by income cohort 3. capital spending patterns look favorable; some pockets of consumer delinquency (auto loans) 4. bulls outweigh bears; individual stock ownership at high point 5. Real interest rates continue to climb; high probability of rate cut next month...question is how much to cut and how many cuts before the end of the year 6. crude oil stocks low, although domestic production is near peak; weaker price outlook

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




