Charts & Chat - August 27, 2023
Eric Boyce • August 29, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. historical dividend contribution to total stock market return
2. real yields are headwind for stocks; return still concentrated in the "magnificent 7"
3. manufacturing date relatively strong following weak stretch; investment trends are positive
4. US debt levels, interest expense as percent of spending will become a problem over time
5. housing market feeling the impact of higher rates and lower affordability
6. some stress in credit markets beginning to appear
7. China's secular problem compounding current weakness

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




