Charts & Chat - July 23, 2023
Eric Boyce • July 23, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. inflation deceleration and implications
2. present consumer expectations remain strong, future expectations dropping
3. Philly Fed current manufacturing conditions weak, expectations look better 6 months out
4. Leading indicators suggest slowing, as does bankruptcy filings, credit tightening by banks
5. Housing appears headed to a stall, but not a crash
6. stock inflows remain strong, bond outflows from high credit to more speculative credit - consistent with increased complacency

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




