Charts & Chat - June 9, 2024
Eric Boyce • June 9, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
-
Gold performance relative to bonds and size of government budget; increase of gold in use as reserve asset
-
Labor force participation and debt levels, and increased treasury issuance
-
yield curve dynamics and lack of breadth evident in equities; equity risk premium very low relative to bonds
-
diversification benefits from other asset classes, foreign markets
-
residential home price declines, office vacancy and the looming debt cliff for commercial real estate
-
job market in good shape but softening; consumer spending rising but so are delinquencies
-
small banks responding to balance sheet issues
-
disinflation tendencies in place - need patience

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




