Charts & Chat - November 14, 2023
Eric Boyce • November 14, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. GDP forecasts have evolved from this summer - more optimism on 2025 and 2026 2. credit card, auto delinquency rising. 3. savings contracting, but spending continues 4. homes prices contracting, gasoline prices off in time for holiday shopping season 5. portfolio perspective - probability of success high and improves the longer the horizon 6. the tech high flyer stocks - gains this year, but got hammered last year 7. bank stocks, emerging markets - very low/attractive relative valuation, but too early for catalyst

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




