Charts & Chat - October 20, 2024
Eric Boyce • October 21, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. GDP estimates for 3Q in the increase; liquidity higher, and economic data on balance has been more positive.
2. liquidity improving in US and abroad - tends to favor profits increases and risk asset investment over time
3. retail sales stronger than expected, labor market softening as expected
4. gold strong, other energy commodities are off somewhat
5. chapter 11 filings up, expectations for delinquencies on the rise
6. regional economic surveys (Philly Fed, Empire State) paint mixed picture on manufacturing
7. investor optimism much higher on stocks versus bonds; improving stock price and earnings breadth across sectors expected

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




