Charts & Chat - September 18, 2023
Eric Boyce • September 18, 2023
This week, Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Various Business surveys suggest weaker economy, labor market ahead 2. Impact of student loan debt repayment, potential government shutdown, and UAW auto sector strike 3. outlook for retail sales 4. outlook for owner's equivalent rent (OER) on inflation 5. higher energy prices and demand expected, along with higher gasoline prices 6. home prices moving higher again; share of home sales from new builds increasing 7. expected future economic growth and equity returns next 10 years not as high as last 10 years.

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




