Charts & Chat - January 7, 2024

Eric Boyce • January 7, 2024

This week, CEO Eric Boyce discusses: 1. Things on our mind heading into the new year... 2. risk of cost increases from the Gaza conflict fallout, although logistics costs overall much lower than during the supply chain crunch 3. Strong Growth in Texas v. US Growth 4. Dallas Fed Research - fixed investment (non-residential and residential investment) are much more important recession indicators than consumer spending... 5. Manufacturing still soft; labor market remains strong but decelerating 6. apartment rents dropping, energy costs remain muted 7. International markets are HISTORICALLY cheap relative to US 8. Playing investment themes will be more important in 2024 than just playing the indexes.



By Eric Boyce August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group
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