Charts & Chat - July 16, 2023
Eric Boyce • July 17, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. consumer and producer inflation continues to drop in a positive trend, but when will the Fed end its interest rate increases.
2. credit card delinquencies and bankruptcies are on the rise...amidst the positive economic data, keeping one eye on the cracks developing.
3. Shelter component of consumer inflation coming down - positive for CPI decline next few months.
4. short term interest rates finally above inflation; money supply growth turns positive
5. Stock valuations above 5-yr and 10-yr trends...outlook...?
6. Attractive international stock valuations relative to US

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




