Charts & Chat - July 9, 2023
Eric Boyce • July 9, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. reflecting on the missed estimates heading into 2023 now that we are 1/2 way through the year
2. some areas of economic strength heading into 3rd quarter, especially labor - what the new data is telling us about the pending labor slowdown (wages, etc..)
3. ISM Manufacturing remains weak...implications for the economy and the equity market
4. inflation trending lower, but will take a while to get to 2% target - forward expectations sticky above 2%, tho
5. Implications for the pending resumption of student loan debt payments
6. Stock market valuation headwinds and opportunities

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




