Charts & Chat - November 17, 2024
Eric Boyce • November 17, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. potential trade implications of the Trump 2.0 administration
2. recent inflation reports reflect sticky inflation influenced by a handful of components, overall trend remains down, however.
3. real wage growth positive, delinquencies picking up tho
4. US dollar accelerating; commodity prices are a mixed bag; oil, gasoline stocks are low
5. risk asset valuations & expectations are high, yet volatility remains low - some near term risk there...
6. significant opportunity in small cap and international stocks - just needs a catalyst
7. short term interest rates expected to drop 0.5% next 12 months; overall rates moving higher & reversing earlier 2024 trends

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




