Charts & Chat - October 16, 2023
Eric Boyce • October 16, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses the following charts: 1. the latest CPI inflation report, trends, rents, wages and food prices 2. cost of credit moving materially higher 3. impact of higher interest rates offset by higher earnings and growth estimates 4. older generations helping to support consumption 5. the evolution of private credit continues - trends and observations 6. equity risk premium very low right now - part of the reason of recent equity volatility 7. equity sentiment weak (contrarian indicator) - market may be short term sold

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




