Charts & Chat - September 22, 2024
Eric Boyce • September 22, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce discusses:
1. The implications of the recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve
2. Global growth expectations remain weak despite considerable easing by foreign central banks
3. Economic and earnings growth expected to continue; investor optimism high; potential for volatility heading into election
4. Gold at a new high; dollar is range bound but perhaps moving lower with rate decreases
5. wage growth no longer decelerating; increase apartment supply should keep rents falling
6. Philly Fed manufacturing looking up; manufacturing tends to improve following the first rate cut
7. mortgage rates falling; increased home supply helping to normalize conditions in residential real estate

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




