Charts & Chat - August 20, 2023
Eric Boyce • August 20, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. stock valuations stretched, fueled by earnings expectations, fund flows; stocks less attractive relative to bonds
2. bond rates higher due to increased supply
3. higher real rates may weigh on stocks; TIPS attractive
4. mixed economic data - recent production strong (autos); leading indicators down 15 straight months
5. China - subject to 3 D's - deflation, demographics and high debt - slowdown in front of us...
6. weak housing affordability offset by builder optimism
7. retail sales relatively strong, but set to weaken

By Eric Boyce
•
October 19, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. current estimates for AI/tech capital spending, and what are the risks 2. the K-shaped economy visualized, the residential real estate market in the doldrums 3. inflation edging higher, complicated Fed decisions; flat CEO confidents and rising producer prices 4. contribution to equity market reruns, multiple compression, concentration risk, and risk of rising correlations to bond returns given higher interest rates 5. don't be scared of market highs, though, and 5th year bull market expansion returns are generally pretty good. 6. decomposition of yield changes, bond market selloff





