Charts & Chat - August 6, 2023
Eric Boyce • August 7, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. high frequency data positive, for the most part, although retail sales trails prior years
2. labor market still tight, but cracks are evident (hours worked, wage growth)
3. Retail stock investors exuberant, chasing returns
4. Better relative value in bond market - large stocks overvalued, but small caps have better value
5. gold may have short term correction with stronger equity market and lower perceived volatility
6. Economic data mixed (higher bankruptcies, manufacturing contraction, service sector still positive)

By Eric Boyce
•
September 15, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. implications of a growing national debt level and growth of debt relative to the national economy 2. economic variables most impacted by inflation stemming from the Iran war 3. difficult Fed position regarding short term rates - expectations are for higher rates, but bond market is already there with higher yields. Bond sell off continues, driven by increasing fiscal deficits and increased skepticism 4. increased demand for debt - driven by global demand and hyperscalers, comes at a time of decreasing supply of savings, halping to cement rate increases 5. Producer prices higher - labor market appears stable for the time being 6. 3rd quarter economic growth potential tracking higher per Atlanta Fed 7. Stock valuations lower due to higher earnings, overall valuations bring risk of volatility, although current vol is low





