Charts & Chat - September 25, 2023
Eric Boyce • September 25, 2023
This week, Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. the timing of the lagged effect of monetary tightening 2. Interest rates are rising again, but the yield curve is steepening 3. Lots of compelling reasons to expect an economic soft landing; however, risks remain and some data like the Leading Economic Indicators still would support recession 4. Trend data and correlations do forecast economic slowdown 5. earnings and economic forecasts can be volatile, but recent trends have been positive

By Eric Boyce
•
October 19, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. current estimates for AI/tech capital spending, and what are the risks 2. the K-shaped economy visualized, the residential real estate market in the doldrums 3. inflation edging higher, complicated Fed decisions; flat CEO confidents and rising producer prices 4. contribution to equity market reruns, multiple compression, concentration risk, and risk of rising correlations to bond returns given higher interest rates 5. don't be scared of market highs, though, and 5th year bull market expansion returns are generally pretty good. 6. decomposition of yield changes, bond market selloff





