Charts & Chat - September 8, 2024
Eric Boyce • September 8, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Third quarter GDP growth looking like 2% annualized
2. Leading indicators have troughed; however, beige book and other indicators suggest slowing economy
3. Labor market continues to slow, as desired by the Fed; inflation and labor trends provide vast cover for interest rate declines this month
4. Service PMI still positive; manufacturing/construction back in decline
5. Yield curve un-inverted this week for the first time in 783 days
6. Stocks typically are weaker in September; also weaker in two months heading into Presidential election (usually get post election bounce tho)
7. increased volatility overall as of late - should create opportunity for small caps and equal weight S&P over time

By Eric Boyce
•
July 13, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. believe it or note, we are now in the 6th longest business cycle expansion in US history 2. AI spending should be a continued economic driver on several fronts 3. economic growth stemming from high income households, increased consumption and declining savings rates; deep dive into the wealth effect and notable drivers 4. Three engines of 2026 growth: AI spending, Infrastructure & Manufacturing Capacity Spending, and OBBBA (offset by higher energy costs) 5. generational transfer of "wealth" (i.e. free cash flow) from Hyperscalers to semiconductor companies 6. equity valuations remain high - tremendous surge in earnings expectations driving optimism and valuation gap versus international stocks




