Charts & Chat - September 8, 2024
Eric Boyce • September 8, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Third quarter GDP growth looking like 2% annualized
2. Leading indicators have troughed; however, beige book and other indicators suggest slowing economy
3. Labor market continues to slow, as desired by the Fed; inflation and labor trends provide vast cover for interest rate declines this month
4. Service PMI still positive; manufacturing/construction back in decline
5. Yield curve un-inverted this week for the first time in 783 days
6. Stocks typically are weaker in September; also weaker in two months heading into Presidential election (usually get post election bounce tho)
7. increased volatility overall as of late - should create opportunity for small caps and equal weight S&P over time

By Eric Boyce
•
September 15, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. implications of a growing national debt level and growth of debt relative to the national economy 2. economic variables most impacted by inflation stemming from the Iran war 3. difficult Fed position regarding short term rates - expectations are for higher rates, but bond market is already there with higher yields. Bond sell off continues, driven by increasing fiscal deficits and increased skepticism 4. increased demand for debt - driven by global demand and hyperscalers, comes at a time of decreasing supply of savings, halping to cement rate increases 5. Producer prices higher - labor market appears stable for the time being 6. 3rd quarter economic growth potential tracking higher per Atlanta Fed 7. Stock valuations lower due to higher earnings, overall valuations bring risk of volatility, although current vol is low





