Charts & Chat - September 8, 2024
Eric Boyce • September 8, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Third quarter GDP growth looking like 2% annualized
2. Leading indicators have troughed; however, beige book and other indicators suggest slowing economy
3. Labor market continues to slow, as desired by the Fed; inflation and labor trends provide vast cover for interest rate declines this month
4. Service PMI still positive; manufacturing/construction back in decline
5. Yield curve un-inverted this week for the first time in 783 days
6. Stocks typically are weaker in September; also weaker in two months heading into Presidential election (usually get post election bounce tho)
7. increased volatility overall as of late - should create opportunity for small caps and equal weight S&P over time

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




