Charts & Chat - July 23, 2023
Eric Boyce • July 23, 2023
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. inflation deceleration and implications
2. present consumer expectations remain strong, future expectations dropping
3. Philly Fed current manufacturing conditions weak, expectations look better 6 months out
4. Leading indicators suggest slowing, as does bankruptcy filings, credit tightening by banks
5. Housing appears headed to a stall, but not a crash
6. stock inflows remain strong, bond outflows from high credit to more speculative credit - consistent with increased complacency

By Eric Boyce
•
October 19, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. current estimates for AI/tech capital spending, and what are the risks 2. the K-shaped economy visualized, the residential real estate market in the doldrums 3. inflation edging higher, complicated Fed decisions; flat CEO confidents and rising producer prices 4. contribution to equity market reruns, multiple compression, concentration risk, and risk of rising correlations to bond returns given higher interest rates 5. don't be scared of market highs, though, and 5th year bull market expansion returns are generally pretty good. 6. decomposition of yield changes, bond market selloff





