Charts & Chat - May 20, 2024
Eric Boyce • May 19, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. recent inflation data at the producer and consumer level - analysis and implications 2. money supply growth negative - positive for disinflation over time 3. labor softening, consumers low on excess savings, increased credit card delinquency; yet, real wages remain high, providing continued spending power 4. manufacturing turning a slow corner 5. stocks back to near overbought; bond yields off interim peaks 6. strong foreign interest in US stocks/bonds (except for China)

By Eric Boyce
•
August 3, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Fed leaves rates unchanged, but bias is up based on sticky inflation data. Bond market providing its own assessment of risk as Fed chair Warsh pulls back and long term rates move higher 2. Earnings estimates accelerating, creating higher valuations and risk if results fall short of expectations. Question of whether free cash flow growth and returns on investment can be achieved by AI firms. 3. inflation volatility adding risk to S&P 500 earnings; increasing divergence between sectors 4. 2nd quarter GDP shy of expectations, as inventory drawdown and weak government spending was offset by positive consumer spending.




