Charts & Chat - May 20, 2024
Eric Boyce • May 19, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. recent inflation data at the producer and consumer level - analysis and implications 2. money supply growth negative - positive for disinflation over time 3. labor softening, consumers low on excess savings, increased credit card delinquency; yet, real wages remain high, providing continued spending power 4. manufacturing turning a slow corner 5. stocks back to near overbought; bond yields off interim peaks 6. strong foreign interest in US stocks/bonds (except for China)

By Eric Boyce
•
August 10, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. economic growth estimates for 3rd quarter imply strong ~6% expansion at this time, driven in large part by technology and AI 2. services and manufacturing economies are in solid shape. 3. AI-related capital spending providing economic boost, with some risk. Resulting free cash flow growth expected in 1-3 years 4. labor market reasonable on its face, as internals show interesting data trends. Recent downward revisions, labor participation and hourly earnings are dropping, more growth in part-time work, higher unemployment trends from college graduates 5. equity markets driven by strong earnings, enthusiasm; risk that sentiment could interrupt high valuations 6. high concentration of S&P 500 in the top 10 companies in the index - margin improvement benign outside of this group




