Charts & Chat - September 18, 2023
Eric Boyce • September 18, 2023
This week, Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Various Business surveys suggest weaker economy, labor market ahead 2. Impact of student loan debt repayment, potential government shutdown, and UAW auto sector strike 3. outlook for retail sales 4. outlook for owner's equivalent rent (OER) on inflation 5. higher energy prices and demand expected, along with higher gasoline prices 6. home prices moving higher again; share of home sales from new builds increasing 7. expected future economic growth and equity returns next 10 years not as high as last 10 years.

By Eric Boyce
•
August 3, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Fed leaves rates unchanged, but bias is up based on sticky inflation data. Bond market providing its own assessment of risk as Fed chair Warsh pulls back and long term rates move higher 2. Earnings estimates accelerating, creating higher valuations and risk if results fall short of expectations. Question of whether free cash flow growth and returns on investment can be achieved by AI firms. 3. inflation volatility adding risk to S&P 500 earnings; increasing divergence between sectors 4. 2nd quarter GDP shy of expectations, as inventory drawdown and weak government spending was offset by positive consumer spending.




